Austin Ekeler Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 17

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NFL · Player Props

Austin Ekeler

RB · Los Angeles Chargers

Rushing Yards

Los Angeles Chargers vs Los Angeles Rams · Week 17, 2022

Updated Jan 2, 2023 12:16 AM UTC

Analysis

Austin Ekeler Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 54.5 (-115/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 54.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 54.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Chargers are a 6.5-point favorite in this game, which points towards a rushing game script.
The Los Angeles Chargers have run the 2nd-most plays in football this year, averaging a colossal 63.1 plays per game.
Austin Ekeler has garnered 59.4% of his offense's rush attempts this year, placing him in the 91st percentile among RBs.
The Los Angeles Rams have stacked the box vs. opponents on just 5.9% of their plays since the start of last season, least in the league. Choosing not to position an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.
The Los Angeles Chargers have risked going for it on 4th down 27.6% of the time since the start of last season (2nd-most in football), which typically means more offensive volume, more TD potential, and higher offensive stats across the board.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Chargers as the 7th-least run-centric team among all teams this week with a 36.2% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 3rd-smallest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 127.2 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The weather report calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
The Los Angeles Chargers offensive line grades out as the 7th-worst in the league this year at blocking for rushers.
Austin Ekeler has been among the weakest RBs in the league at generating extra rushing yardage, averaging a mere 2.72 yards-after-contact this year while grading out in the 25th percentile.