Austin Ekeler Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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Austin Ekeler

NFL · Player Props

Austin Ekeler

RB · Los Angeles Chargers

Rushing Yards

Los Angeles Chargers vs Tennessee Titans · Week 15, 2022

Updated Dec 19, 2022 12:11 AM UTC

Analysis

Austin Ekeler Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 40.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 40.5 @ -112 before it was bet down to 40.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Chargers are a 3-point favorite in this week's contest, likely leading to a rushing game script.
The Los Angeles Chargers have run the 2nd-most plays in the league this year, averaging a colossal 63.4 plays per game.
Austin Ekeler has received 59.3% of his offense's rush attempts this year, putting him in the 93rd percentile among RBs.
The Tennessee Titans have stacked the box vs. opponents on just 10.1% of their plays since the start of last season, 4th-least in the league. Choosing not to keep an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.
The Los Angeles Chargers have risked going for it on 4th down 27.6% of the time since the start of last season (2nd-most in football), which usually means more offensive volume, more TD potential, and higher offensive stats across the board.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Chargers as the 3rd-least run-heavy team on the slate this week with a 34.4% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 5th-smallest volume of plays run among all games this week at 127.9 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The weather report calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
The Los Angeles Chargers offensive line profiles as the 4th-worst in the NFL this year at opening holes for runners.
Austin Ekeler has run for many fewer yards per game (50.0) this year than he did last year (61.0).

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