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Austin Ekeler

Austin Ekeler Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 15

Los Angeles Chargers vs Tennessee Titans

 
 
 
Austin Ekeler Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 40.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 40.5 @ -112 before it was bet down to 40.5 @ -114.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Chargers are a 3-point favorite in this week's contest, likely leading to a rushing game script.
  • The Los Angeles Chargers have run the 2nd-most plays in the league this year, averaging a colossal 63.4 plays per game.
  • Austin Ekeler has received 59.3% of his offense's rush attempts this year, putting him in the 93rd percentile among RBs.
  • The Tennessee Titans have stacked the box vs. opponents on just 10.1% of their plays since the start of last season, 4th-least in the league. Choosing not to keep an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.
  • The Los Angeles Chargers have risked going for it on 4th down 27.6% of the time since the start of last season (2nd-most in football), which usually means more offensive volume, more TD potential, and higher offensive stats across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Chargers as the 3rd-least run-heavy team on the slate this week with a 34.4% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 5th-smallest volume of plays run among all games this week at 127.9 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The weather report calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • The Los Angeles Chargers offensive line profiles as the 4th-worst in the NFL this year at opening holes for runners.
  • Austin Ekeler has run for many fewer yards per game (50.0) this year than he did last year (61.0).

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