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Austin Ekeler Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 51.5 (-125/-105).
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Chargers offense as the 4th-fastest paced team in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the present time, averaging 26.43 seconds per snap.Austin Ekeler has received 58.4% of his team's rush attempts this year, ranking in the 92nd percentile among running backs.The Los Angeles Chargers have risked going for it on 4th down 27.6% of the time since the start of last season (2nd-most in football), which usually means more offensive volume, more touchdown potential, and higher offensive metrics across the board.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Chargers to be the least run-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 32.0% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.The Los Angeles Chargers O-line ranks as the 4th-worst in football this year in run blocking.Austin Ekeler has rushed for significantly fewer yards per game (51.0) this year than he did last year (61.0).Austin Ekeler has been among the bottom RBs in football at picking up extra ground yardage, averaging a measly 2.70 yards-after-contact this year while checking in at the 21st percentile.
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