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Austin Ekeler Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 52.5 (-110/-110).
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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THE BLITZ projects the Chargers to run the 3rd-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 68.1 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.The Los Angeles Chargers have run the 4th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a colossal 62.3 plays per game.THE BLITZ projects Austin Ekeler to accumulate 13.1 carries this week, on average, placing him in the 75th percentile among running backs.Austin Ekeler has earned 58.9% of his team's carries this year, placing him in the 90th percentile among running backs.Austin Ekeler has picked up 54.0 yards per game on the ground this year, one of the largest marks in the NFL among RBs (78th percentile).
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Chargers as the least run-centric team on the slate this week with a 34.7% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.The Los Angeles Chargers offensive line profiles as the 6th-worst in the league this year at opening holes for runners.Austin Ekeler has been among the weakest RBs in football at grinding out extra running yardage, averaging a measly 2.74 yards-after-contact this year while grading out in the 24th percentile.The Los Angeles Chargers have been faced with a stacked the box on 18.4% of their plays since the start of last season, 8th-most in football. Positioning an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.
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