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Austin Ekeler

Austin Ekeler Rushing TD
Player Prop Week 13

Las Vegas Raiders vs Los Angeles Chargers

Austin Ekeler Rushing TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+109/-147).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +118 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +109.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Chargers offense as the 4th-fastest paced team in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the present time, averaging 26.43 seconds per snap.

Austin Ekeler has received 69.4% of his team's red zone rush attempts this year, ranking him in the 95th percentile among running backs.

Austin Ekeler has rushed for 0.64 touchdowns per game on the ground this year (on average), one of the highest figures in the league among RBs (93rd percentile).

Opposing offenses have rushed for the 7th-most touchdowns in the league (1.09 per game) against the Las Vegas Raiders defense this year.

The Los Angeles Chargers have risked going for it on 4th down 27.6% of the time since the start of last season (2nd-most in football), which usually means more offensive volume, more touchdown potential, and higher offensive metrics across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Chargers as the 2nd-least run-heavy offense in football near the goal line (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 34.7% red zone run rate.

The Los Angeles Chargers O-line ranks as the 4th-worst in football this year in run blocking.

The Las Vegas Raiders defensive ends profile as the 5th-best unit in the league this year with their run defense.

The Los Angeles Chargers have faced a stacked the box on 18.4% of their plays since the start of last season, 8th-most in the NFL. Keeping an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

The Las Vegas Raiders have stacked the box versus opponents on 21.7% of their plays since the start of last season, 4th-most in the NFL. Keeping an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

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