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Austin Ekeler

Austin Ekeler Receptions
Player Prop Week 8

Washington Commanders vs Chicago Bears

Austin Ekeler Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-145/+115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +105 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -145.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The pass games of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm weather conditions (3-mph wind) being called for in this game, while rush volume may drop-off.

The leading projections forecast Austin Ekeler to accumulate 3.4 targets in this contest, on average, ranking him in the 83rd percentile when it comes to RBs.

When talking about pocket protection (and the positive impact it has on all air attack statistics), the offensive line of the Commanders ranks as the 2nd-best in the league this year.

With an excellent 2.8 adjusted receptions per game (83rd percentile) this year, Austin Ekeler has been among the best pass-game running backs in football.

Austin Ekeler's possession skills have gotten better this season, with his Adjusted Completion Rate increasing from 72.2% to 100.0%.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The projections expect the Commanders as the 4th-least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 52.5% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

The projections expect this game to play at the 11th-worst pace out of all the games this week, averaging 26.88 seconds per play accounting for the approaches of each team and game dynamics.

Austin Ekeler's 14.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that examines high-value offensive volume) has been significantly lower this season than it was last season at 19.8.

The Bears safeties profile as the 2nd-best safety corps in the league this year in covering receivers.

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