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Austin Ekeler

Austin Ekeler Receptions
Player Prop Week 21

Philadelphia Eagles vs Washington Commanders

Austin Ekeler Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+110/-140).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ +108 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ +110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

A throwing game script is indicated by the Commanders being a -6-point underdog in this week's game.

The 3rd-largest volume of plays in the league have been run by the Commanders this year (a monstrous 60.4 per game on average).

The predictive model expects Austin Ekeler to earn 3.6 targets in this week's contest, on average, placing him in the 100th percentile among RBs.

Austin Ekeler has been a big part of his team's offense, posting a Target Share of 12.2% this year, which ranks in the 93rd percentile when it comes to running backs.

Austin Ekeler's 87.7% Adjusted Catch Rate this season represents a noteworthy growth in his receiving skills over last season's 72.2% figure.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The model projects the Commanders to call the fewest total plays on the slate this week with 64.6 plays, based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.

Opposing offenses teams have been reluctant to lean on the pass against the Eagles, averaging the 3rd-fewest attempts in the NFL (a mere 27.8 per game) this year.

Austin Ekeler's receiving talent has tailed off this season, totaling a mere 2.5 adjusted receptions compared to 3.6 last season.

As it relates to linebackers in defending receivers, Philadelphia's group of LBs has been phenomenal this year, ranking as the 2nd-best in the NFL.

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