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Austin Ekeler
NFL · Player Props
Austin Ekeler
RB · Los Angeles Chargers
Receptions
Green Bay Packers vs Los Angeles Chargers · Week 11, 2023 Updated Nov 20, 2023 3:46 AM UTC
NFL Props Austin Ekeler Receptions

Austin Ekeler Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+110/-150).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ +115 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ +110.

Favors Over
  • The predictive model expects the Los Angeles Chargers to be the 5th-most pass-focused team in football (adjusted for context) right now with a 64.8% pass rate.
  • Given their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Chargers are forecasted by our trusted projection set to call 66.7 offensive plays in this contest: the 2nd-most among all teams this week.
  • In this game, Austin Ekeler is predicted by the model to finish in the 100th percentile among RBs with 6.8 targets.
  • With an impressive 16.1% Target Share (97th percentile) this year, Austin Ekeler stands among the pass-game running backs with the most usage in the NFL.
  • When it comes to defensive tackles pass-rushing, Green Bay's DT corps has been dreadful this year, projecting as the 6th-worst in the NFL.
Favors Under
  • The leading projections forecast the Los Angeles Chargers offensive scheme to lean 2.6% more towards rushing than it did last season (adjusted for context) with offensive coordinator Kellen Moore now calling the plays.
  • The Chargers are a 3-point favorite this week, indicating a running game script.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 33.1 pass attempts per game vs. the Packers defense this year: 7th-fewest in the league.
  • Austin Ekeler's pass-catching performance diminished this season, averaging just 3.6 adjusted receptions compared to 6.3 last season.
  • Austin Ekeler's ball-catching skills have worsened this year, with his Adjusted Catch Rate shrinking from 86.6% to 69.2%.
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