Austin Ekeler Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 3

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Austin Ekeler

NFL · Player Props

Austin Ekeler

RB · Los Angeles Chargers

Receptions

Los Angeles Chargers vs Jacksonville Jaguars · Week 3, 2022

Updated Sep 25, 2022 11:30 PM UTC

Analysis

Austin Ekeler Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+168/-233).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -162 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -233.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Chargers to be the 3rd-most pass-centric team in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 65.5% pass rate.
THE BLITZ projects Austin Ekeler to total 6.1 targets this week, on average, placing him in the 100th percentile among RBs.
Austin Ekeler has been a big part of his team's passing attack, garnering a Target Share of 15.2% since the start of last season, which puts him in the 98th percentile among running backs.
Austin Ekeler has been among the top RB receiving threats since the start of last season, averaging a terrific 4.6 receptions per game while grading out in the 99th percentile.
Austin Ekeler's sure-handedness have gotten a boost this year, with his Completion% rising from 78.4% to 92.9%.

Favors Under

The Chargers are a 6.5-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating a rushing game script.
Opposing offenses have played at the 9th-slowest pace in football (adjusted for context) against the Los Angeles Chargers defense since the start of last season, averaging 28.59 seconds per snap.
Opposing QBs have averaged 31.3 pass attempts per game vs. the Jacksonville Jaguars defense since the start of last season: 4th-least in the league.
The Jacksonville Jaguars pass defense has given up the 6th-lowest Completion% in the league (76.3%) versus running backs since the start of last season (76.3%).
The Jacksonville Jaguars defense has gotten pressure on opposing QBs a measly 2.44 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the 10th-fastest in the NFL since the start of last season.

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