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Austin Ekeler

Austin Ekeler Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 21

Philadelphia Eagles vs Washington Commanders

Austin Ekeler Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-155/+115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 24.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 24.5 @ -155.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

A throwing game script is indicated by the Commanders being a -6-point underdog in this week's game.

The 3rd-largest volume of plays in the league have been run by the Commanders this year (a monstrous 60.4 per game on average).

The predictive model expects Austin Ekeler to earn 3.6 targets in this week's contest, on average, placing him in the 100th percentile among RBs.

Austin Ekeler has been a big part of his team's offense, posting a Target Share of 12.2% this year, which ranks in the 93rd percentile when it comes to running backs.

Austin Ekeler comes in as one of the best RB receiving threats this year, averaging a stellar 27.0 adjusted yards per game while checking in at the 95th percentile.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The model projects the Commanders to call the fewest total plays on the slate this week with 64.6 plays, based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.

Opposing offenses teams have been reluctant to lean on the pass against the Eagles, averaging the 3rd-fewest attempts in the NFL (a mere 27.8 per game) this year.

Austin Ekeler has accumulated a paltry -4.0 air yards per game this year: just 7th percentile among running backs.

This year, the stout Philadelphia Eagles defense has conceded a paltry 25.0 adjusted receiving yards per game vs. opposing running backs: the 4th-fewest in football.

This year, the fierce Eagles defense has given up the 4th-least adjusted yards-per-target in football to opposing RBs: a mere 5.5 yards.

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