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Austin Ekeler

Austin Ekeler Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 20

Detroit Lions vs Washington Commanders

Austin Ekeler Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-115/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 22.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 24.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This game's spread implies an extreme throwing game script for the Commanders, who are giant -8.5-point underdogs.

Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Commanders to pass on 60.3% of their opportunities: the 2nd-highest frequency on the slate this week.

The 3rd-largest volume of plays in the NFL have been called by the Washington Commanders this year (a whopping 60.1 per game on average).

This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

Opposing offenses have averaged 35.8 pass attempts per game against the Lions defense this year: 2nd-most in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The model projects the Commanders to call the 2nd-fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 64.2 plays, given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.

Austin Ekeler has accumulated a puny -4.0 air yards per game this year: just 7th percentile when it comes to running backs.

When it comes to safeties in covering pass-catchers, Detroit's safety corps has been tremendous this year, ranking as the best in the NFL.

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