Austin Ekeler Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 9

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Austin Ekeler

NFL · Player Props

Austin Ekeler

RB · Los Angeles Chargers

Receiving Yards

New York Jets vs Los Angeles Chargers · Week 9, 2023

Updated Nov 7, 2023 12:36 AM UTC

Analysis

Austin Ekeler Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 36.5 (-135/+105).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The projections expect the Los Angeles Chargers to call the 4th-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 66.1 plays, given their underlying play style and game dynamics.
This week, Austin Ekeler is projected by our trusted projection set to land in the 99th percentile when it comes to RBs with 6.5 targets.
Austin Ekeler comes in as one of the best pass-catching running backs this year, averaging a fantastic 45.0 adjusted yards per game while checking in at the 99th percentile.
Austin Ekeler's receiving effectiveness has gotten a boost this year, notching 9.46 adjusted yards-per-target vs a measly 5.91 figure last year.
Austin Ekeler's 17.31 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this season shows a substantial gain in his effectiveness in space over last season's 8.0% figure.

Favors Under

The leading projections forecast the Chargers offensive strategy to skew 2.4% more towards the run game than it did last season (context-neutralized) with offensive coordinator Kellen Moore now calling the plays.
This week's line suggests a rushing game script for the Chargers, who are favored by 3 points.
The leading projections forecast the Los Angeles Chargers as the 2nd-least pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 59.2% pass rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
Opposing quarterbacks teams have been afraid to test the pass defense of the New York Jets, averaging the fewest attempts in the NFL (a lowly 34.0 per game) this year.
When talking about air yards, Austin Ekeler grades out in the paltry 9th percentile among RBs this year, totaling just -5.0 per game.

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