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Austin Ekeler

Austin Ekeler Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 6

Los Angeles Chargers vs Dallas Cowboys

 
 
 
Austin Ekeler Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 34.5 (-135/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 32.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 34.5 @ -135.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Chargers to pass on 63.4% of their chances: the 3rd-highest rate among all teams this week.
  • The predictive model expects this game to see the 3rd-most plays run among all games this week at 133.4 plays, accounting for the approaches of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Los Angeles Chargers have run the 8th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a whopping 61.2 plays per game.
  • The passing offenses of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the still weather conditions (0-mph wind) being predicted in this game, while ground volume may decline.
  • The leading projections forecast Austin Ekeler to accrue 6.3 targets in this contest, on average, ranking in the 99th percentile among RBs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Chargers offensive scheme to tilt 2.2% more towards running than it did last year (context-neutralized) with offensive coordinator Kellen Moore now calling the plays.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 27.2 pass attempts per game vs. the Cowboys defense this year: fewest in the NFL.
  • When it comes to air yards, Austin Ekeler ranks in just the 3rd percentile among RBs since the start of last season, accruing just -4.0 per game.
  • Austin Ekeler's 77.7% Adjusted Completion% this season indicates a a substantial diminishment in his receiving proficiency over last season's 86.6% mark.
  • The Dallas Cowboys pass defense has displayed strong efficiency vs. RBs this year, conceding 4.22 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 3rd-fewest in the NFL.

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