My Account Log Out

reorder

Austin Ekeler

Austin Ekeler Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 16

Los Angeles Chargers vs Buffalo Bills

Austin Ekeler Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 30.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 32.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 30.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Los Angeles Chargers may rely on the pass game less in this week's contest (and call more carries) because they be starting backup quarterback Easton Stick.

This week's line indicates an extreme throwing game script for the Chargers, who are huge -12.5-point underdogs.

Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Chargers to pass on 62.4% of their chances: the 3rd-highest clip on the slate this week.

The leading projections forecast this game to have the 4th-highest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 131.5 plays, given the traits of each team and game dynamics.

The passing offenses of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm weather conditions (1-mph wind) being projected in this game, while run volume may slide.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Austin Ekeler has totaled a measly -6.0 air yards per game this year: just 6th percentile when it comes to RBs.

Austin Ekeler's 20.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that weighs high-value offensive usage) has been quite a bit worse this season than it was last season at 27.0.

Austin Ekeler has totaled quite a few less adjusted receiving yards per game (34.0) this season than he did last season (43.0).

Austin Ekeler's 70.8% Adjusted Catch Rate this year reflects a noteworthy diminishment in his receiving proficiency over last year's 86.6% mark.

The Buffalo Bills linebackers project as the 9th-best group of LBs in the league this year in pass coverage.

More Austin Ekeler Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™