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Austin Ekeler

Austin Ekeler Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 15

Las Vegas Raiders vs Los Angeles Chargers

 
 
 
Austin Ekeler Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 31.5 (-145/+115).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Chargers will be forced to start backup QB Easton Stick in this week's game, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.
  • At a -3-point disadvantage, the Chargers are underdogs this week, suggesting more of a focus on moving the ball through the air than their standard game plan.
  • The model projects the Los Angeles Chargers as the 8th-most pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 61.0% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
  • At the moment, the 2nd-quickest paced team in football (in a neutral context) according to the projection model is the Los Angeles Chargers.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • As it relates to air yards, Austin Ekeler grades out in the measly 11th percentile among RBs this year, totaling just -3.0 per game.
  • Austin Ekeler's 21.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that measures high-value offensive usage) has been substantially lower this season than it was last season at 27.0.
  • Austin Ekeler has totaled significantly fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (35.0) this year than he did last year (43.0).
  • Austin Ekeler's possession skills have declined this year, with his Adjusted Completion Rate falling off from 86.6% to 70.5%.

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