Austin Ekeler Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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Austin Ekeler

NFL · Player Props

Austin Ekeler

RB · Los Angeles Chargers

Receiving Yards

Los Angeles Chargers vs Denver Broncos · Week 6, 2022

Updated Oct 18, 2022 12:16 AM EST

Analysis

Austin Ekeler Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 36.5 (-143/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 36.5 @ -108 before it was bet up to 36.5 @ -143.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 132.8 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Los Angeles Chargers have run the 8th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a monstrous 61.2 plays per game.
THE BLITZ projects Austin Ekeler to total 6.9 targets in this game, on average, ranking in the 97th percentile among RBs.
Austin Ekeler has been an integral part of his team's passing offense, posting a Target Share of 17.9% this year, which ranks in the 98th percentile among RBs.
Austin Ekeler has compiled many more receiving yards per game (46.0) this season than he did last season (41.0).

Favors Under

The Chargers are a 4-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Chargers as the 2nd-least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 61.5% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Austin Ekeler has compiled significantly fewer air yards this season (-12.0 per game) than he did last season (9.0 per game).
The Denver Broncos safeties project as the 2nd-best collection of safeties in the league this year in pass coverage.
The Denver Broncos have stacked the box vs. opponents on just 9.1% of their plays since the start of last season, least in the NFL. Choosing not to position an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.

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