Austin Ekeler Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 38.5 (-110/-110).
Key Factors
Favors Over
THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Chargers as the 8th-most pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 62.5% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Chargers to run the 4th-most total plays on the slate this week with 67.9 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Los Angeles Chargers have run the 5th-most plays in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a whopping 61.0 plays per game.
This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
THE BLITZ projects Austin Ekeler to earn 7.5 targets in this week's contest, on average, placing him in the 100th percentile among RBs.
Favors Under
The Chargers are a 5.5-point favorite in this week's contest, which points towards a rushing game script.
Opposing QBs have averaged 32.1 pass attempts per game against the Houston Texans defense since the start of last season: 7th-least in football.
Austin Ekeler's pass-catching effectiveness has tailed off this season, totaling a mere 6.28 yards-per-target compared to a 7.43 rate last season.
The Houston Texans defense has surrendered the 2nd-least receiving yards per game in the NFL (just 27.0) vs. RBs since the start of last season.
The Houston Texans pass defense has displayed good efficiency vs. running backs since the start of last season, giving up 5.23 yards-per-target to the position: the 4th-least in the league.