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Austin Ekeler

Austin Ekeler Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 4

Houston Texans vs Los Angeles Chargers

 
 
 
Austin Ekeler Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 38.5 (-110/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Chargers as the 8th-most pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 62.5% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Chargers to run the 4th-most total plays on the slate this week with 67.9 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The Los Angeles Chargers have run the 5th-most plays in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a whopping 61.0 plays per game.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • THE BLITZ projects Austin Ekeler to earn 7.5 targets in this week's contest, on average, placing him in the 100th percentile among RBs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Chargers are a 5.5-point favorite in this week's contest, which points towards a rushing game script.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 32.1 pass attempts per game against the Houston Texans defense since the start of last season: 7th-least in football.
  • Austin Ekeler's pass-catching effectiveness has tailed off this season, totaling a mere 6.28 yards-per-target compared to a 7.43 rate last season.
  • The Houston Texans defense has surrendered the 2nd-least receiving yards per game in the NFL (just 27.0) vs. RBs since the start of last season.
  • The Houston Texans pass defense has displayed good efficiency vs. running backs since the start of last season, giving up 5.23 yards-per-target to the position: the 4th-least in the league.

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