Austin Ekeler Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 16

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Austin Ekeler

NFL · Player Props

Austin Ekeler

RB · Los Angeles Chargers

Receiving Yards

Indianapolis Colts vs Los Angeles Chargers · Week 16, 2022

Updated Dec 27, 2022 4:01 AM UTC

Analysis

Austin Ekeler Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 37.5 (-150/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 32.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 37.5 @ -150.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Chargers as the most pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 66.2% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the smallest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 135.0 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Los Angeles Chargers have run the 2nd-most plays in the league this year, averaging a monstrous 63.4 plays per game.
This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
THE BLITZ projects Austin Ekeler to notch 6.9 targets this week, on average, placing him in the 100th percentile among running backs.

Favors Under

The Chargers are a 3.5-point favorite in this week's contest, likely leading to a rushing game script.
Opposing offenses have averaged 32.9 pass attempts per game vs. the Indianapolis Colts defense this year: least in football.
Austin Ekeler has notched far fewer air yards this year (-7.0 per game) than he did last year (9.0 per game).
Austin Ekeler's receiving efficiency has declined this year, compiling just 5.75 yards-per-target compared to a 7.39 figure last year.
The Indianapolis Colts safeties grade out as the 6th-best safety corps in the league this year in pass coverage.

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