Austin Ekeler Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 14

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Austin Ekeler

NFL · Player Props

Austin Ekeler

RB · Los Angeles Chargers

Receiving Yards

Los Angeles Chargers vs Miami Dolphins · Week 14, 2022

Updated Dec 12, 2022 1:11 AM EST

Analysis

Austin Ekeler Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 42.5 (+106/-138).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 44.5 @ -117 before it was bet down to 42.5 @ -138.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Chargers are a 3.5-point underdog this week, indicating a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Chargers to be the 3rd-most pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 67.6% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Chargers offense as the 4th-quickest paced team in the NFL (context-neutralized) right now, averaging 26.40 seconds per play.
The weather report calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
Opposing offenses have averaged 36.7 pass attempts per game versus the Miami Dolphins defense this year: 9th-most in football.

Favors Under

Austin Ekeler has notched significantly fewer air yards this season (-6.0 per game) than he did last season (9.0 per game).
Austin Ekeler's receiving efficiency has declined this season, accumulating a measly 5.67 yards-per-target vs a 7.39 rate last season.
The Miami Dolphins pass defense has excelled when opposing RBs have gotten into space, yielding an average of 5.12 yards-after-the-catch this year: the least in the NFL.
The Miami Dolphins defensive front has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks just 2.36 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the 3rd-best in football since the start of last season.

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