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Austin Ekeler

Austin Ekeler Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 7

Los Angeles Chargers vs Seattle Seahawks

Austin Ekeler Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+234/-371).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +240 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +234.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 3rd-largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 130.7 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Los Angeles Chargers have run the 6th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a colossal 64.5 plays per game.

The weather report calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.

Austin Ekeler has been an integral part of his team's offense near the goal line, posting a Red Zone Target Share of 19.0% this year, which places him in the 96th percentile among RBs.

Austin Ekeler's 26.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) puts him in the company of the best in football: 95th percentile for running backs.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Chargers are a 4.5-point favorite in this week's game, likely creating a rushing game script.

Opposing teams have averaged 32.0 pass attempts per game against the Seattle Seahawks defense this year: 4th-least in the league.

Austin Ekeler has accumulated far fewer air yards this year (-12.0 per game) than he did last year (9.0 per game).

The Los Angeles Chargers O-line profiles as the 9th-worst in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful effect on all pass game statistics across the board.

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