Austin Ekeler Receiving TD - Player Prop Bet Week 1

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Austin Ekeler

NFL · Player Props

Austin Ekeler

RB · Los Angeles Chargers

Receiving TD

Los Angeles Chargers vs Las Vegas Raiders · Week 1, 2022

Updated Sep 11, 2022 11:34 PM UTC

Analysis

Austin Ekeler Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+308/-566).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -495 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -566.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Chargers to run the most plays on offense among all teams this week with 65.4 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Los Angeles Chargers have run the 7th-most plays in the league since the start of last season, totaling a monstrous 65.4 plays per game.
The weather forecast calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
Austin Ekeler has been an integral part of his team's passing offense near the goal line, posting a Red Zone Target Share of 14.7% since the start of last season, which ranks him in the 93rd percentile among running backs.
Austin Ekeler has accrued a colossal 9.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 98th percentile among running backs.

Favors Under

The Chargers are a 3.5-point favorite this week, which points towards a rushing game script.

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