Austin Ekeler Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 12

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Austin Ekeler

NFL · Player Props

Austin Ekeler

RB · Washington Commanders

Carries

Washington Commanders vs Dallas Cowboys · Week 12, 2024

Updated Nov 25, 2024 3:56 AM EST

Analysis

Austin Ekeler Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This week's line indicates an extreme running game script for the Commanders, who are a huge favorite by 10.5 points.
Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Commanders to run on 52.6% of their opportunities: the 2nd-greatest rate among all teams this week.
Based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Commanders are projected by the model to run 68.6 offensive plays in this game: the 2nd-most on the slate this week.
The 10th-largest volume of plays in the NFL have been called by the Washington Commanders this year (a colossal 58.4 per game on average).
When it comes to the defensive tackles' role in run defense, Dallas's group of DTs has been easily exploitable this year, projecting as the 7th-worst in the NFL. in the NFL.

Favors Under

Austin Ekeler has been a much smaller piece of his offense's rushing attack this season (23.0% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last season (54.4%).

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