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Austin Ekeler

Austin Ekeler Carries
Player Prop Week 17

Denver Broncos vs Los Angeles Chargers

Austin Ekeler Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 11.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

In this game, Austin Ekeler is predicted by the predictive model to rank in the 79th percentile when it comes to running backs with 14.4 carries.

Austin Ekeler has earned 54.2% of his team's rush attempts this year, placing him in the 87th percentile when it comes to running backs.

The Denver Broncos defensive tackles grade out as the 5th-worst collection of DTs in the NFL this year in regard to stopping the run.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Chargers may take to the air less in this week's contest (and call more rushes) since they be forced to use backup quarterback Easton Stick.

The Chargers are a 3.5-point underdog in this game, likely creating a passing game script.

The Chargers rank as the 8th-least run-focused offense in football (in a neutral context) this year with a 35.5% run rate.

The model projects the Chargers to run the 3rd-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 63.1 plays, accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics.

As it relates to run support (and the ramifications it has on all run game statistics), the offensive line of the Chargers ranks as the 6th-worst in football last year.

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