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Austin Ekeler

Austin Ekeler Carries
Player Prop Week 16

Los Angeles Chargers vs Buffalo Bills

 
 
 
Austin Ekeler Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-130/+102).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ +107 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ +102.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The leading projections forecast this game to have the 4th-highest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 131.5 plays, given the traits of each team and game dynamics.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Los Angeles Chargers may rely on the pass game less in this week's contest (and call more carries) because they be starting backup quarterback Easton Stick.
  • This week's line indicates an extreme throwing game script for the Chargers, who are huge -12.5-point underdogs.
  • The model projects the Los Angeles Chargers to be the 3rd-least run-centric team on the slate this week with a 37.6% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The passing offenses of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm weather conditions (1-mph wind) being projected in this game, while run volume may slide.
  • While Austin Ekeler has garnered 54.1% of his team's rushing play calls in games he has played this year, the projections expect him to be much less involved in Los Angeles's running game in this week's game at 43.4%.

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