Austin Ekeler Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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Austin Ekeler

NFL · Player Props

Austin Ekeler

RB · Los Angeles Chargers

Carries

Las Vegas Raiders vs Los Angeles Chargers · Week 15, 2023

Updated Dec 15, 2023 4:01 AM UTC

Analysis

Austin Ekeler Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-135/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

At the moment, the 2nd-quickest paced team in football (in a neutral context) according to the projection model is the Los Angeles Chargers.

Favors Under

The Chargers will be forced to start backup QB Easton Stick in this week's game, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.
At a -3-point disadvantage, the Chargers are underdogs this week, suggesting more of a focus on moving the ball through the air than their standard game plan.
Our trusted projections expect the Chargers to be the 8th-least run-focused offense on the slate this week with a 39.0% run rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
The predictive model expects Austin Ekeler to be a much smaller piece of his offense's ground game this week (44.9% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (55.2% in games he has played).

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