Austin Ekeler Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 11

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Austin Ekeler

NFL · Player Props

Austin Ekeler

RB · Los Angeles Chargers

Carries

Green Bay Packers vs Los Angeles Chargers · Week 11, 2023

Updated Nov 19, 2023 5:46 PM UTC

Analysis

Austin Ekeler Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (+105/-135).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The leading projections forecast the Los Angeles Chargers offensive scheme to lean 2.6% more towards rushing than it did last season (adjusted for context) with offensive coordinator Kellen Moore now calling the plays.
The Chargers are a 3-point favorite this week, indicating a running game script.
Given their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Chargers are forecasted by our trusted projection set to call 66.7 offensive plays in this contest: the 2nd-most among all teams this week.
In this week's contest, Austin Ekeler is forecasted by the model to slot into the 89th percentile among running backs with 16.5 rush attempts.
Austin Ekeler has garnered 56.5% of his offense's run game usage this year, ranking him in the 90th percentile among RBs.

Favors Under

The leading projections forecast the Los Angeles Chargers to be the 8th-least run-focused offense on the slate this week with a 40.6% run rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
When talking about opening holes for runners (and the influence it has on all ground game stats), the offensive line of the Chargers profiles as the 7th-worst in the NFL last year.

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