Austin Ekeler Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-135/+105).
Key Factors
Favors Over
The Chargers are a 4-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 132.8 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Los Angeles Chargers have run the 8th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a monstrous 61.2 plays per game.
THE BLITZ projects Austin Ekeler to garner 13.4 carries in this week's game, on average, putting him in the 76th percentile among RBs.
Austin Ekeler has garnered 55.0% of his team's rush attempts this year, ranking him in the 88th percentile among RBs.
Favors Under
THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Chargers to be the least run-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 38.5% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The Los Angeles Chargers O-line grades out as the worst in the NFL this year at blocking for rushers.
The Los Angeles Chargers have faced a stacked the box on 18.4% of their plays since the start of last season, most in the league. Keeping an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.