A.T. Perry Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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A.T. Perry

NFL · Player Props

A.T. Perry

WR · New Orleans Saints

Receptions

New Orleans Saints vs New York Giants · Week 15, 2023

Updated Dec 17, 2023 8:26 PM UTC

Analysis

A.T. Perry Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-128/+100).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The predictive model expects this game to see the 2nd-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 133.6 plays, given the play styles of each team and game dynamics.
The 3rd-largest volume of plays in the league have been run by the New Orleans Saints this year (a staggering 62.1 per game on average).
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
This year, the weak New York Giants pass defense has been torched for a whopping 66.9% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing wide receivers: the 9th-biggest rate in the NFL.
The New York cornerbacks project as the worst collection of CBs in the NFL this year in pass coverage.

Favors Under

This week's line indicates a running game script for the Saints, who are favored by 6.5 points.
The New Orleans Saints offensive line profiles as the 5th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful impact on all passing offense metrics across the board.
With a lackluster 50.3% Adjusted Catch% (18th percentile) this year, A.T. Perry has been as one of the most hard-handed receivers in football among wide receivers.

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