A.T. Perry Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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A.T. Perry

NFL · Player Props

A.T. Perry

WR · New Orleans Saints

Receiving Yards

New Orleans Saints vs New York Giants · Week 15, 2023

Updated Dec 17, 2023 8:26 PM EST

Analysis

A.T. Perry Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-110/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The predictive model expects this game to see the 2nd-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 133.6 plays, given the play styles of each team and game dynamics.
The 3rd-largest volume of plays in the league have been run by the New Orleans Saints this year (a staggering 62.1 per game on average).
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
A.T. Perry is positioned as one of the most effective receivers in the league, averaging an impressive 10.96 adjusted yards-per-target this year while grading out in the 93rd percentile when it comes to WRs.
The Giants defense has allowed the 6th-most adjusted receiving yards per game in football (176.0) vs. WRs this year.

Favors Under

This week's line indicates a running game script for the Saints, who are favored by 6.5 points.
The New Orleans Saints offensive line profiles as the 5th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful impact on all passing offense metrics across the board.
With a lackluster 50.3% Adjusted Catch% (18th percentile) this year, A.T. Perry has been as one of the most hard-handed receivers in football among wide receivers.

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