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Ashton Dulin

Ashton Dulin Receptions
Player Prop Week 10

Indianapolis Colts vs Buffalo Bills

Ashton Dulin Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+195/-245).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -210 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -245.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

A throwing game script is indicated by the Colts being a -4.5-point underdog in this game.

This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

Opposing teams have averaged 35.3 pass attempts per game against the Bills defense this year: 8th-most in the NFL.

As it relates to protecting the passer (and the positive impact it has on all pass attack stats), the offensive line of the Indianapolis Colts grades out as the best in football this year.

The Bills pass defense has yielded the 7th-highest Adjusted Completion% in the league (69.2%) vs. wide receivers this year (69.2%).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

At the moment, the 2nd-least pass-focused team in football (55.3% context-neutralized) according to the model is the Indianapolis Colts.

Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Colts are projected by our trusted projection set to run just 61.2 total plays in this contest: the lowest number on the slate this week.

The Colts have called the 5th-fewest plays in football this year, totaling a lowly 53.2 plays per game.

With a sizeable 16.5% Route Participation Rate (10th percentile) this year, Ashton Dulin stands as one of the WRs with the highest volume in the league.

With a measly 0.3 adjusted catches per game (3rd percentile) this year, Ashton Dulin ranks as one of the worst WRs in the league in football.

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