My Account Log Out
 
 
Ashton Dulin

Ashton Dulin Receptions
Player Prop Week 5

Denver Broncos vs Indianapolis Colts

 
 
 
Ashton Dulin Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+152/-207).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Colts are a 3-point underdog in this game, indicating a passing game script.
  • The Indianapolis Colts have run the 7th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a monstrous 64.2 plays per game.
  • Ashton Dulin has been less involved as a potential target this season (34.6% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last season (20.6%).
  • The Indianapolis Colts O-line grades out as the 10th-best in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a strong impact on all passing game metrics across the board.
  • Ashton Dulin's receiving talent has improved this year, compiling 2.7 yards per game compared to a mere 0.9 last year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to play at the 11th-slowest pace on the slate this week, averaging 26.33 seconds per play based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Denver Broncos pass defense has conceded the 5th-lowest Completion% in football (59.9%) to wide receivers this year (59.9%).
  • The Denver Broncos cornerbacks grade out as the 6th-best group of CBs in the NFL this year in pass coverage.
  • The Denver Broncos have stacked the box vs. opponents on just 9.1% of their plays since the start of last season, 3rd-least in the league. Choosing not to bring an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.
  • The Indianapolis Colts have gone no-huddle on a measly 2.7% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (5th-least in the NFL). This slows the pace, leading to less volume and stat accumulation.

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2022 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™