Ashton Dulin Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 4

NFL · Player Props

Ashton Dulin

WR · Indianapolis Colts

Receiving Yards

Indianapolis Colts vs Tennessee Titans · Week 4, 2022

Updated Oct 3, 2022 3:00 AM UTC

Analysis

Ashton Dulin Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 11.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Opposing QBs have averaged 36.6 pass attempts per game versus the Tennessee Titans defense since the start of last season: 9th-most in the NFL.
Ashton Dulin has been among the most efficient pass-catchers in the league, averaging a terrific 10.67 yards-per-target this year while checking in at the 88th percentile among wide receivers.
The Tennessee Titans defense has conceded the 3rd-most receiving yards per game in football (176.0) vs. wideouts since the start of last season.
The Tennessee Titans pass defense has exhibited weak efficiency versus wideouts since the start of last season, yielding 8.93 yards-per-target to the position: the 5th-most in football.
The Indianapolis Colts offensive line has allowed their QB 2.63 seconds before the pass (9th-best in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a strong effect on all passing game statistics across the board.

Favors Under

The Colts are a 4-point favorite in this game, which points towards a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Indianapolis Colts as the 10th-least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 56.0% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Colts to call the 3rd-least total plays on the slate this week with 63.1 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Ashton Dulin to be a less important option in his offense's pass attack this week (6.5% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (12.0% in games he has played).
Ashton Dulin has been among the worst pass-catching WRs since the start of last season, averaging a lowly 17.0 yards per game while ranking in the 24th percentile among wideouts.