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Antonio Gibson

Antonio Gibson Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 6

New England Patriots vs Houston Texans

 
 
 
Antonio Gibson Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 48.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 39.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 48.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The model projects the New England Patriots as the 3rd-most run-centric team on the slate this week with a 49.6% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is expected by the predictive model to have 127.8 offensive plays called: the 5th-highest number on the slate this week.
  • This week, Antonio Gibson is expected by the projection model to find himself in the 92nd percentile among RBs with 17.8 rush attempts.
  • The leading projections forecast Antonio Gibson to be a more important option in his offense's rushing attack this week (55.7% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (24.2% in games he has played).
  • Antonio Gibson has run for a lot more adjusted yards per game (39.0) this year than he did last year (16.0).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • A passing game script is implied by the Patriots being a -4.5-point underdog in this game.
  • The Texans linebackers grade out as the 3rd-best collection of LBs in the NFL this year when it comes to defending the run.

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