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Antonio Gibson

Antonio Gibson Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 5

New England Patriots vs Miami Dolphins

Antonio Gibson Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 43.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 44.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 43.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the New England Patriots to run on 45.7% of their opportunities: the 8th-greatest clip on the slate this week.

The model projects Antonio Gibson to earn 12.8 carries this week, on average, putting him in the 75th percentile among RBs.

While Antonio Gibson has accounted for 22.8% of his team's rushing play calls in games he has played this year, our trusted projections expect him to be much more involved in New England's rushing attack in this game at 44.2%.

Antonio Gibson has run for significantly more adjusted yards per game (37.0) this year than he did last year (16.0).

Antonio Gibson's 5.1 adjusted yards per carry this season indicates a significant progression in his running proficiency over last season's 3.9 figure.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

A passing game script is suggested by the Patriots being a -4.5-point underdog in this game.

Given the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is projected by the projections to have only 124.5 total plays called: the 4th-fewest on the slate this week.

Still weather conditions (like the 2-mph wind being forecasted in this game) usually cause better passing effectiveness, higher touchdown potential, higher air volume, and reduced ground volume.

As it relates to the linebackers' role in defending against the run, Miami's unit has been excellent this year, ranking as the 7th-best in the league.

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