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Antonio Gibson

Antonio Gibson Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 4

San Francisco 49ers vs New England Patriots

Antonio Gibson Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-155/+120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 17.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ -155.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At the present time, the 4th-most run-heavy team in the NFL (44.7% in a neutral context) according to the projections is the Patriots.

Antonio Gibson's running effectiveness has gotten better this year, compiling 6.07 adjusted yards-per-carry vs a mere 3.92 rate last year.

Antonio Gibson's 4.83 yards-after-contact this year marks a noteworthy growth in his rushing proficiency over last year's 3.51 rate.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This game's spread implies an extreme throwing game script for the Patriots, who are big -11.5-point underdogs.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is predicted by the projection model to see just 122.0 offensive plays called: the lowest number out of all the games this week.

The 7th-smallest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Patriots since the start of last season (just 56.3 per game on average).

The opposing side have run for the 2nd-fewest adjusted yards in football (just 90.0 per game) vs. the 49ers defense since the start of last season.

When it comes to the linebackers' role in run defense, San Francisco's LB corps has been great since the start of last season, ranking as the 5th-best in the NFL.

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