Antonio Gibson Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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Antonio Gibson

NFL · Player Props

Antonio Gibson

RB · New England Patriots

Rushing Yards

Arizona Cardinals vs New England Patriots · Week 15, 2024

Updated Dec 15, 2024 9:06 PM EST

Analysis

Antonio Gibson Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-133/-103).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 17.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 22.5 @ -133.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Antonio Gibson's 25.6% snap rate this season signifies a material regression in his offensive workload over last season's 46.0% figure.
Antonio Gibson has rushed for many more adjusted yards per game (27.0) this season than he did last season (16.0).
With a fantastic rate of 3.90 yards after contact (94th percentile), Antonio Gibson stands among the powerful RBs in the league this year.

Favors Under

At a -6-point disadvantage, the Patriots are underdogs this week, implying more of an emphasis on passing than their standard game plan.
The projections expect this game to see the 4th-lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 127.4 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
The Cardinals safeties grade out as the 6th-best group of safeties in the NFL this year with their run defense.

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