The Commanders boast a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Eric Bieniemy, and the model projects their pass/run mix to tilt 14.0% more towards passing than it did last season (in a neutral context).This game's line suggests a passing game script for the Commanders, who are -5.5-point underdogs.Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Washington Commanders to run on 35.5% of their chances: the lowest frequency among all teams this week.After comprising 32.7% of his offense's rushing play calls last year, Antonio Gibson has played a smaller part in the rushing attack this year, now accounting for just 14.1%.The Washington O-line profiles as the 9th-worst in the NFL last year at run-game blocking.
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