Antonio Gibson Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 10

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Antonio Gibson

NFL · Player Props

Antonio Gibson

RB · Washington Commanders

Rushing Yards

Seattle Seahawks vs Washington Commanders · Week 10, 2023

Updated Nov 12, 2023 9:06 PM UTC

Analysis

Antonio Gibson Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 11.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

As far as a defense's impact on tempo, at 27.44 seconds per snap, the projections expect the Washington Commanders to be the 6th-quickest in football (context-neutralized) right now.
Antonio Gibson's 4.6 adjusted yards per carry this year indicates a noteworthy gain in his rushing skills over last year's 3.6 figure.
Antonio Gibson's 3.73 yards-after-contact this season shows a material gain in his rushing proficiency over last season's 2.54 rate.
When it comes to the safeties' role in stopping the run, Seattle's safety corps has been atrocious this year, profiling as the 3rd-worst in the NFL. in the NFL.

Favors Under

The Commanders boast a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Eric Bieniemy, and the model projects their pass/run mix to tilt 14.0% more towards passing than it did last season (in a neutral context).
This game's line suggests a passing game script for the Commanders, who are -5.5-point underdogs.
Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Washington Commanders to run on 35.5% of their chances: the lowest frequency among all teams this week.
After comprising 32.7% of his offense's rushing play calls last year, Antonio Gibson has played a smaller part in the rushing attack this year, now accounting for just 14.1%.
The Washington O-line profiles as the 9th-worst in the NFL last year at run-game blocking.

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