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Antonio Gibson

Antonio Gibson Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 10

Seattle Seahawks vs Washington Commanders

 
 
 
Antonio Gibson Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 11.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -130.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • As far as a defense's impact on tempo, at 27.44 seconds per snap, the projections expect the Washington Commanders to be the 6th-quickest in football (context-neutralized) right now.
  • Antonio Gibson's 4.6 adjusted yards per carry this year indicates a noteworthy gain in his rushing skills over last year's 3.6 figure.
  • Antonio Gibson's 3.73 yards-after-contact this season shows a material gain in his rushing proficiency over last season's 2.54 rate.
  • When it comes to the safeties' role in stopping the run, Seattle's safety corps has been atrocious this year, profiling as the 3rd-worst in the NFL. in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Commanders boast a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Eric Bieniemy, and the model projects their pass/run mix to tilt 14.0% more towards passing than it did last season (in a neutral context).
  • This game's line suggests a passing game script for the Commanders, who are -5.5-point underdogs.
  • Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Washington Commanders to run on 35.5% of their chances: the lowest frequency among all teams this week.
  • After comprising 32.7% of his offense's rushing play calls last year, Antonio Gibson has played a smaller part in the rushing attack this year, now accounting for just 14.1%.
  • The Washington O-line profiles as the 9th-worst in the NFL last year at run-game blocking.

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