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Antonio Gibson

Antonio Gibson Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 6

Chicago Bears vs Washington Commanders

Antonio Gibson Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 30.5 @ -113 before it was bet down to 18.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Washington Commanders have called the 7th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a monstrous 64.0 plays per game.

Opposing squads have rushed for the 2nd-most yards in the NFL (179 per game) versus the Chicago Bears defense this year.

The Chicago Bears defensive ends project as the 2nd-worst group of DEs in the NFL this year in regard to stopping the run.

The Washington Commanders have gone up against a stacked the box on just 12.2% of their plays since the start of last season, 6th-least in the NFL. Positioning an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

The Washington Commanders have risked going for it on 4th down 24.1% of the time since the start of last season (4th-most in the league), which typically means more offensive volume, more TD potential, and higher offensive metrics across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the Washington Commanders as the 9th-least run-oriented team in football (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 36.3% run rate.

THE BLITZ projects the Commanders to call the 7th-least offensive plays among all teams this week with 63.6 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects Antonio Gibson to be a less important option in his offense's running game this week (21.4% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (54.8% in games he has played).

The Washington Commanders O-line ranks as the 2nd-worst in football this year in run blocking.

Antonio Gibson has run for substantially fewer yards per game (36.0) this season than he did last season (65.0).

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