Antonio Gibson Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 3

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Antonio Gibson

NFL · Player Props

Antonio Gibson

RB · Washington Commanders

Rushing Yards

Washington Commanders vs Philadelphia Eagles · Week 3, 2022

Updated Sep 25, 2022 11:30 PM UTC

Analysis

Antonio Gibson Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 49.5 (-110/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 3rd-most plays run on the slate this week at 126.9 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The weather report calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.
THE BLITZ projects Antonio Gibson to accumulate 14.6 rush attempts in this week's game, on average, ranking in the 86th percentile among running backs.
Antonio Gibson has earned 68.4% of his offense's rush attempts this year, putting him in the 94th percentile among running backs.
Antonio Gibson has averaged 63.0 rushing yards per game since the start of last season, one of the largest figures in football among RBs (92nd percentile).

Favors Under

The Commanders are a 6-point underdog in this week's game, which points towards a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Washington Commanders to be the 5th-least run-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 37.4% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Antonio Gibson's running effectiveness has tailed off this year, compiling a measly 3.20 yards-per-carry compared to a 4.03 figure last year.

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