My Account Log Out
 
Antonio Gibson
NFL · Player Props
Antonio Gibson
RB · Washington Commanders
Rushing Yards
Houston Texans vs Washington Commanders · Week 11, 2022 Updated Nov 20, 2022 6:06 PM UTC
NFL Props Antonio Gibson Rushing Yards

Antonio Gibson Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 45.5 (+104/-137).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 46.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 45.5 @ -137.

Favors Over
  • The Commanders are an enormous 11.5-point underdog this week, likely leading to an extreme passing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Washington Commanders as the 5th-most run-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 48.7% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • Opposing offenses have rushed for the most yards in the league (179 per game) vs. the Houston Texans defense this year.
  • The Houston Texans linebackers rank as the worst LB corps in the NFL this year when it comes to stopping the run.
  • The Washington Commanders have gone up against a stacked the box on a measly 12.2% of their plays since the start of last season, 6th-least in football. Keeping an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.
Favors Under
  • The Washington Commanders will be rolling with backup QB Taylor Heinicke this week, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Washington Commanders offense as the 7th-worst paced team in the league (adjusted for context) at the present time, averaging 29.11 seconds per play.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • Antonio Gibson has been a much smaller piece of his team's running game this season (38.7% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last season (65.2%).
  • The Washington Commanders O-line grades out as the 5th-worst in football this year at opening holes for rushers.
More Antonio Gibson Props Data by WriteNow™
About WriteNow