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Antonio Gibson

Antonio Gibson Rushing TD
Player Prop Week 1

Washington Commanders vs Jacksonville Jaguars

Antonio Gibson Rushing TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+160/-190).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Commanders are a 3-point favorite in this game, likely creating a rushing game script.

The Commanders have been the 6th-most run-centric offense in the league near the end zone (context-neutralized) since the start of last season with a 48.1% red zone run rate.

THE BLITZ projects the Washington Commanders as the 7th-fastest paced defense in the league (adjusted for context) at the present time, causing opposing offenses to average 26.90 seconds per play.

Antonio Gibson has been given 73.0% of his offense's red zone carries since the start of last season, ranking him in the 97th percentile among RBs.

Antonio Gibson has run for 0.44 touchdowns per game on the ground since the start of last season (on average), one of the biggest figures in the NFL among running backs (87th percentile).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Jacksonville Jaguars have stacked the box versus opponents on 22.5% of their plays since the start of last season, 2nd-most in football. Bringing an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

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