My Account Log Out

reorder

Antonio Gibson

Antonio Gibson Receptions
Player Prop Week 7

Jacksonville Jaguars vs New England Patriots

Antonio Gibson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-120/-108).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

A passing game script is suggested by the Patriots being a -6.5-point underdog in this game.

Opposing offenses have averaged 37.8 pass attempts per game against the Jaguars defense this year: 6th-most in football.

This year, the feeble Jaguars pass defense has given up a massive 89.7% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing running backs: the 8th-worst rate in the NFL.

As it relates to safeties in pass coverage, Jacksonville's collection of safeties has been very bad this year, ranking as the worst in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The predictive model expects the Patriots as the 3rd-least pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 51.1% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

With respect to a defense's influence on tempo, at 28.79 seconds per play, the predictive model expects the Patriots as the 10th-slowest in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the moment.

Antonio Gibson has been less involved as a potential target this year (26.4% Route% in games he has played) than he did last year (45.5%).

The New England O-line grades out as the 4th-worst in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a harmful effect on all passing offense statistics across the board.

Antonio Gibson's pass-catching performance worsened this season, accumulating a measly 1.9 adjusted catches compared to 3.0 last season.

More Antonio Gibson Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™