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Antonio Gibson

Antonio Gibson Receptions
Player Prop Week 17

New England Patriots vs Los Angeles Chargers

Antonio Gibson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-190/+140).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -190.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Patriots are a 6-point underdog in this game, which points towards a passing game script.

The passing attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still weather conditions (4-mph wind) being forecasted in this game, while rush volume may suffer.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 58.4% rate of throwing the ball (adjusted for context) this year, the 9th-least pass-oriented team in football has been the New England Patriots.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is expected by the predictive model to have only 127.0 plays on offense called: the fewest out of all the games this week.

Antonio Gibson's 22.7% Route Participation Rate this season indicates a substantial decrease in his passing offense utilization over last season's 45.5% rate.

The New England offensive line profiles as the 2nd-worst in the league this year in pass protection, which has a negative effect on all passing game stats across the board.

Antonio Gibson's 1.3 adjusted receptions per game this season indicates an impressive reduction in his pass-catching prowess over last season's 3.0 rate.

More Antonio Gibson Player Props

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