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Antonio Gibson

Antonio Gibson Receptions
Player Prop Week 17

New England Patriots vs Los Angeles Chargers

Antonio Gibson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-110/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Patriots are a 4-point underdog in this game, which points towards a passing game script.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Patriots to pass on 55.3% of their plays: the 10th-lowest rate on the slate this week.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is expected by the predictive model to have only 127.6 plays on offense called: the 3rd-fewest out of all the games this week.

Antonio Gibson's 22.7% Route Participation Rate this season indicates a substantial decrease in his passing offense utilization over last season's 45.5% rate.

The New England offensive line profiles as the 2nd-worst in the league this year in pass protection, which has a negative effect on all passing game stats across the board.

Antonio Gibson's 1.3 adjusted receptions per game this season indicates an impressive reduction in his pass-catching prowess over last season's 3.0 rate.

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