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Antonio Gibson

Antonio Gibson Receptions
Player Prop Week 10

Chicago Bears vs New England Patriots

 
 
 
Antonio Gibson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-210/+165).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -200 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -210.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This game's spread indicates a throwing game script for the Patriots, who are -6.5-point underdogs.
  • The projections expect the New England Patriots offense to be the 8th-fastest paced team in football (adjusted for context) at the present time, averaging 27.38 seconds per play.
  • Antonio Gibson's ball-catching skills have gotten a boost this year, with his Adjusted Catch% increasing from 84.6% to 88.0%.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the New England Patriots to pass on 54.9% of their opportunities: the 8th-lowest clip on the slate this week.
  • The weather forecast calls for 18-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and worse passing efficiency.
  • Antonio Gibson's 21.4% Route Participation% this season shows a remarkable diminishment in his pass game workload over last season's 45.5% rate.
  • The New England Patriots O-line grades out as the 2nd-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful influence on all passing attack statistics across the board.
  • Antonio Gibson's play as a receiver has diminished this season, totaling a measly 1.5 adjusted receptions compared to 3.0 last season.

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