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Antonio Gibson

Antonio Gibson Receptions
Player Prop Week 16

New York Jets vs Washington Commanders

Antonio Gibson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -100 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -135.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At a -3-point disadvantage, the Commanders are underdogs in this week's contest, implying more of a reliance on passing than their usual approach.

Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Washington Commanders to pass on 62.8% of their plays: the 2nd-highest clip on the slate this week.

Our trusted projections expect the Washington Commanders to be the 3rd-quickest paced defense in the NFL (adjusted for context) right now, with opposing offenses averaging 27.41 seconds per play.

Antonio Gibson has run a route on 46.3% of his team's dropbacks this year, placing him in the 80th percentile when it comes to running backs.

The projections expect Antonio Gibson to earn 4.3 targets in this week's contest, on average, putting him in the 85th percentile when it comes to RBs.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Opposing offenses have averaged 32.3 pass attempts per game versus the Jets defense this year: 5th-fewest in the league.

The New York Jets pass defense has yielded the 6th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the league (76.8%) versus running backs this year (76.8%).

When it comes to linebackers in defending pass-catchers, New York's unit has been terrific this year, grading out as the best in the NFL.

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