Antonio Gibson Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 5

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Antonio Gibson

NFL · Player Props

Antonio Gibson

RB · Washington Commanders

Receptions

Washington Commanders vs Tennessee Titans · Week 5, 2022

Updated Oct 9, 2022 11:15 PM UTC

Analysis

Antonio Gibson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+145/-190).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -190.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Washington Commanders have run the 6th-most plays in football this year, averaging a whopping 67.0 plays per game.
Opposing teams have averaged 37.5 pass attempts per game against the Tennessee Titans defense this year: 10th-most in the NFL.
Antonio Gibson has been a big part of his team's passing attack, earning a Target Share of 10.3% this year, which ranks him in the 82nd percentile among running backs.
Antonio Gibson has been among the leading pass-game RBs this year, averaging an impressive 3.2 receptions per game while ranking in the 86th percentile.
The Tennessee Titans linebackers grade out as the 10th-worst collection of LBs in the league this year in pass coverage.

Favors Under

The Washington Commanders offensive line profiles as the 10th-worst in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative effect on all air attack statistics across the board.
The Washington Commanders have gone up against a stacked the box on a mere 12.2% of their plays since the start of last season, 6th-least in the league. Bringing an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.
The Tennessee Titans have stacked the box versus opponents on just 10.1% of their plays since the start of last season, 4th-least in the league. Choosing not to position an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.

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