Antonio Gibson Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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Antonio Gibson

NFL · Player Props

Antonio Gibson

RB · Washington Commanders

Receptions

Detroit Lions vs Washington Commanders · Week 2, 2022

Updated Sep 19, 2022 3:00 AM UTC

Analysis

Antonio Gibson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-165/+130).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Commanders rank as the 6th-most pass-heavy offense in the NFL (context-neutralized) since the start of last season with a 70.9% pass rate.
THE BLITZ projects the Washington Commanders offense to be the 9th-fastest paced team in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the moment, averaging 26.30 seconds per snap.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
THE BLITZ projects Antonio Gibson to accrue 3.9 targets this week, on average, ranking him in the 86th percentile among running backs.
Antonio Gibson has been an integral part of his team's pass game, garnering a Target Share of 11.7% since the start of last season, which ranks in the 89th percentile among RBs.

Favors Under

Opposing teams have averaged 31.7 pass attempts per game against the Detroit Lions defense since the start of last season: 6th-least in the NFL.
The Washington Commanders have been faced with a stacked the box on a measly 12.2% of their plays since the start of last season, 6th-least in the league. Keeping an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

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