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Antonio Gibson

Antonio Gibson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 7

Jacksonville Jaguars vs New England Patriots

 
 
 
Antonio Gibson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-110/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • A passing game script is suggested by the Patriots being a -6.5-point underdog in this game.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 37.8 pass attempts per game against the Jaguars defense this year: 6th-most in football.
  • Antonio Gibson's 9.82 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year illustrates a meaningful progression in his effectiveness in picking up extra yardage over last year's 7.5% rate.
  • This year, the shaky Jacksonville Jaguars defense has surrendered a staggering 59.0 adjusted receiving yards per game versus opposing RBs: the worst in the league.
  • This year, the feeble Jacksonville Jaguars defense has allowed the 3rd-most adjusted yards-per-target in football to opposing RBs: a staggering 7.85 yards.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The predictive model expects the Patriots as the 3rd-least pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 51.1% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
  • With respect to a defense's influence on tempo, at 28.79 seconds per play, the predictive model expects the Patriots as the 10th-slowest in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the moment.
  • Antonio Gibson has been less involved as a potential target this year (26.4% Route% in games he has played) than he did last year (45.5%).
  • The New England O-line grades out as the 4th-worst in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a harmful effect on all passing offense statistics across the board.
  • Antonio Gibson has put up quite a few less adjusted receiving yards per game (15.0) this season than he did last season (24.0).

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