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Antonio Gibson

Antonio Gibson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 6

New England Patriots vs Houston Texans

Antonio Gibson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 18.5 @ +100.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

A passing game script is implied by the Patriots being a -4.5-point underdog in this game.

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is expected by the predictive model to have 127.8 offensive plays called: the 5th-highest number on the slate this week.

The projections expect Antonio Gibson to notch 4.1 targets this week, on balance, placing him in the 90th percentile when it comes to RBs.

While Antonio Gibson has garnered 7.2% of his team's targets in games he has played this year, the predictive model expects him to be much more involved in New England's passing attack in this contest at 14.0%.

Antonio Gibson has accrued a staggering 0.0 air yards per game this year: 75th percentile among running backs. (This might not seem very overwhelming, but most RBs wind up with negative air yards as a result of being targeted behind the line of scrimmage).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The model projects the Patriots to be the 3rd-least pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 50.4% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

When it comes to pocket protection (and the importance it has on all passing game statistics), the offensive line of the Patriots grades out as the 5th-worst in the league this year.

Antonio Gibson has accumulated a lot fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (13.0) this year than he did last year (24.0).

This year, the imposing Houston Texans defense has given up a feeble 19.0 adjusted receiving yards per game vs. opposing running backs: the fewest in the league.

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