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Antonio Gibson

Antonio Gibson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 17

New England Patriots vs Los Angeles Chargers

Antonio Gibson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-115/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 11.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Patriots are a 4-point underdog in this game, which points towards a passing game script.

Antonio Gibson's 7.5 adjusted yards per target this year signifies a meaningful gain in his receiving talent over last year's 6.7 rate.

Antonio Gibson's 10.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this season represents a significant improvement in his efficiency in the open field over last season's 7.5% mark.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Patriots to pass on 55.3% of their plays: the 10th-lowest rate on the slate this week.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is expected by the predictive model to have only 127.6 plays on offense called: the 3rd-fewest out of all the games this week.

Antonio Gibson's 22.7% Route Participation Rate this season indicates a substantial decrease in his passing offense utilization over last season's 45.5% rate.

The New England offensive line profiles as the 2nd-worst in the league this year in pass protection, which has a negative effect on all passing game stats across the board.

Antonio Gibson has compiled substantially fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (11.0) this season than he did last season (24.0).

More Antonio Gibson Player Props

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